27 Nov '11, 12am

For all price patterns there are always failures

For all price patterns there are always failures

From a practical perspective, after the 2008 pattern there was another attempt for a test of the SMA(40 Week), enclosed in the red circle. Thus, there were two attempts to test resistance at the SMA(40 Week). The second test was at the same level where the double bottom was formed. This makes sense because that was a support level that turned into resistance, indicating a change in trend. However, in the second pattern this second test has not taken place yet. There are (at least) four possibilities: (A) The second test never occurs. In this case we have two possibilities (A1) Prices reverse and rally and (A2) Prices fall towards the March 2009 lows. (B) The second test occurs. In this case too we have two possibilities (B1) Prices rally and (B2) Prices reverse and fall towards the March 2009 lows. These are some of the possibilities. Price action may signal which of the a...

Full article: http://www.investmentmoats.com/stock-market-commentary/te...

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